That sounds great, but tamoxifen costs, on average, about $1,212 a year in the United States. And the drug, which is also used to not only prevent, but treat certain types of breast cancer, has also been found to cause cataracts, deep vein thromboses, endometrial cancer and stroke.
Using a formula that included the cost of the drug and the number of women saved from breast cancer because of this drug, Melinikow calculated that for every year of life saved, tamoxifen costs well over $1.3 million. In comparison, an annual flu shot, colonoscopy and mammography costs about $980, $11,000 and $58,000, respectively, per year of life saved. The results of the study will be published in the journal Cancer.
If the threshold of breast cancer risk is raised to include only those at highest risk—over 3 percent—tamoxifen's effectiveness increases significantly enough to make the cost of the drug worth it, the authors say, especially for those women who have had a hysterectomy and do not need to worry about developing endometrial cancer while on the drug.
"This would support revising the current recommended risk threshold for physicians to counsel women about tamoxifen," said Melinikow.